He may win this
year strictly as payback for that. That year he lost to “Colors of the Wind” from Pocahontas which you
really can’t blame them for. Disney was just past its peak and had dominated the song category for the last
several years (something like 10 nominations in 4 years) and then you had Pixar - this new start up company being
bold with this new CGI technology (not to mention the fact that John Laseter - and consequentially Pixar and Toy
Story - was already getting a special Oscar for the first ever full length CGI film while Pocahontas wasn’t up
for any other categoy (this was before the Best Animated Feature Award)). Now here we are 10 years later and we
see that he’s a well established and respected artist and Pixar is a power house in the industry with Jobs and
Lasseter being the two most powerful men in Hollywood. Also as we see “You’ve Got a Friend in Me” has
had much better staying power than “Colors of the Wind.” He may very well receive the Oscar simply as
a correction for the '96 Awards (as is often the case in the Oscars with someone receiving an award even though
they didn’t deserve it for that role but because they were overlooked in the past for a much more amazing
one).
Actually - my biggest fear is that Cars will dominate the song nominees taking 2-3 slots while 1 or
2 other songs like “Bring It” from Snakes on a Plane and “My Little Girl” from My Friend
Flicka round out the rest. Then the Cars songs split the vote allowing the other to take it. Hopefully with 3
Six Mafia winning last year the Academy won’t be too keen on voting for a rap song 2 years in a row. Hopefully
they’ll also be interested in voting for a country song with Dolly Parton losing the award last year but even
then you have to hold your breath that they still go with Newman over an established country artist like Tim
McGraw. Then of course there’s always the possibility the Brad Paisley sneaks his song in from Cars - at leas
that would split the Tim McGraw votes.
No matter what it will sure be interesting to watch. =)