I
agree that The Incredibles got gyped for Best Picture. Although it likely would not win, it probly would’ve
made the list had Million Dollar Baby not squeaked in under the nomination deadline. Remember it DID receive a
Best Picture nomination at the Golden Globes and likely would’ve won had it not been for Eternal Sunshine of the
Spotless Mind. Even though Buena Vista pushed for a Best Picture nomination (and I have the ads to prove it) it
just didn’t pan out. I for one am of the belief that this is the fault of the Best Animated Feature category
which most feel sets the “genre” apart so it doesn’t need to be considered for Best Picture. That’s
why now that animation is in a rennesance I feel the Best Animated Feature category should be eliminated
altogether so they can compete with the big boys and we can have our second ever animated Best Picture nominee
(the first being Beauty & the Beast in 1993). I also feel that Michael Giachino was overlooked by not
getting a Best Score nomination that year considering how amazing it was and how well it did at the Grammys.
Also note that most rank the lack of nominations for The Incredibles in Best Picture and Best Score were two of
the biggest Oscar snubs that year. But it doesn’t change the fact that the movie was fourth most nominated at
four and third most victorious at two for that year.
But I digress…
Having some knowledge in the
subject look for Cars to pick up nominations in Best Animated Feature, Best Song, Sound Editing, and Sound
Mixing. Despite my own personal beliefs critics have downplayed the story as compared to previous Pixar films
which will hurt it in Best Original Screenplay and the fact that the movie is so song heavy limits the score time
and the movie’s hope of Best Score.
From there, look to pick up Best Animated Feature (Pixar always has
an advantage in this category not just because of the obvious but also because it gets sympathy votes since it
often gets voted against in other categories and the other films in this category don’t even get nominated in
others). It will probly split Sound Mixing and Editing simply because this is standard that they don’t both go
the same way. It will ultimately come down to who the individuals nominated are but right now it leans toward
winning mixing and droppin editing (the reverse of The Incredibles two years ago). Best song will patly depend
on which one (or more) song(s) get nominated. It will be tough going against DreamGirls since that’s an all
around Oscar favorite this year and as I mentioned in another thread there will also be a sympathy towards
established country artists after last year (again favorable if it’s a Brad Paisley song that gets nominated but
not if it’s a Randy Newman song especially if Tim McGraw or Toby Keith get nominated for their films). Also
Randy Newman has an Oscar for Best Song from Monsters Ince (which most atually consider a throw back for Toy
Story) so they may not be in a hurry to give him another.
Sooo in recap - look for 4-5 nominations and 2-3
wins.
Also - keep in mind again that Lifted will likely be a nominee for Best Animated Short and if it’s
as good as I hear then it could well be a contender too! =)