Predict how TS3 will end at the box office.

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#81

My prediction, add at least another $50million to the train from Japan starting from August 21st and 22nd weekend, plus the rest of the countries will match the Japanese market and that will put TS3 ranked definitely deep in the top ten alltime grossing film ever in the world.

DarkHandOfSigourneyWeaver

In Japan that’s " Bon" holiday and the Japanese spread the holidays so that the country doesn’t shut down. Expect two more. Also, in September we have “Silver week” holidays, from September 18th to the 26th. We also spread those holiday vacations too. If Walt Disney Japan can put TS3 in fourth gear during “Silver week” then I can see TS3 hitting near the $200 million range when it’s all finished in Japan. TS3 could even lap Finding Nemo twice in Japan. BTW, I’m gonna be a little depressed when the TS3 bullet train stops. What a ride!

#82

It would be a real shame if Toy Story 3 fails to beat Alice in the Wonderland as the Highest Grossing film of 2010. With a 99% Rotten Tomatoes score compared to 51% for AitW, a film with much more quality should top the list. Alice in the Wonderland has been around for many years, we recently got Toy Story and we’ve seemed to grow in love more with Toy Story as a whole than AitW. I just hope Toy Story 3 does get to hit that 1 Billion mark. People in Brazil, Germany, Russia are just crazy for buying tickets for Shrek the 4th and not going out to watch this brilliant Masterpiece! What shocks me the most is how Germany gave $85 million to watch Ice Age 3, Such a horrible film.
Funny how it only got $1 million in Japan and Sherk the 4th wasn’t even released in Japan. At least we know what nations knows true story telling and which doesn’t.

#83

Shrek the 4th will come out in Japan in December. It better have something original in CG or the story is original or the animation looks like a Ghibli film. If Shrek the 4th doesn’t have any one of these then don’t even waste marketing the film in Japan. Better yet, save the marketing budget and put the film direct to dvd. Seriously.

Talking about marketing, I would like TS3 film to have an encore appearance. I think Avatar is coming back for a short engagement in theaters in Japan. I’ve read somewhere that the Avatar “encore” film will play for a month and will have an extra fifteen minutes of film added, something like that. Some writers in Japan are writing TS3 is in the Titanic, Avatar film caliber.

#84

Johnny Depp in 3D! :wink:
Who in my opinion was one of the best things about the movie. Though I personally thought it was pretty awesome. I mean, it had Alice chopping the head off of a dragon. THAT’S EPIC!! XD

#85

So how come I fell asleep in the part immediately prior to that? I gonna rent the dvd for a lousy buck and see what I missed. yawn

Oh, just saw that TS3 lost 40% of its screens this past week domestically. It should add hundreds more in 2 weeks, for the U.S. Labor Day weekend. It’s been deleted from my local multiplex, sad, because they have 16 screens and it’s now a healthy #16 on the charts, with tons of late summer releases getting in the way. This weekend marks the first time that TS3 has really been falling here. Previously, it was new releases that were knocking it down. Now because of the lower screen count and nearly complete market saturation (nearly everyone has seen it), it is falling of its own weakness.

#86

Avatar is returning to theaters here in the US too. Just saw an ad on tv for it two days ago.

#87

This isn’t a good thing, is it? :frowning:

#88

Yes it is bad news, unexpectedly. Two weeks ago it had 2105 screens here and now is almost a third of that! What is galling is that Twilight still has 1200+ screens and is doing half TS3’s business. Figure that. The loss of screens so suddenly on Friday caused TS3 to take in only $370,000 that day, which was what it took in on Tuesday, a weekday. It probably did better on Saturday, but still is a depressing number. Oh, just did a count, and 8 movies were released the past 2 weeks, almost all crappy, I saw the Scott Pilgrim one and got up and left.

So I went to Despicable Me instead, which had a nice crowd and got alot of laughs. What a refreshing, original movie; I’ve made a number of favorable comments about this movie and DW’s dragon movie last March. Too bad silly Alice has done so much better than these two movies, which are near Pixar in quality. Anyways, 3 of the top 8 movies so far this year are animated, including the top spot:

1 Toy Story 3 BV …$402,651,000
2 Alice in Wonderland (2010) BV $334,191,110
3 Iron Man 2 Par. …$312,128,345
4 The Twilight Saga: Eclipse Sum…$296,649,934
5 Inception WB …$256,348,000
6 Shrek Forever After P/DW …$237,459,246
7 Despicable Me Uni. …$227,580,000
8 How to Train Your Dragon DW…$217,581,231
9 The Karate Kid Sony …,$174,861,447
10 Clash of the Titans (2010) WB $163,214,888
11 Grown Ups Sony …$158,524,196
12 The Last Airbender Par. …$129,897,047
13 Shutter Island Par. …$128,012,934

I doubt that the extended version of Avatar will unseat any of these movies. The dvd only sold 7-8M copies, because there aren’t any special features on that dvd, it’s barren. Nothing like what Pixar and Disney pack into the dvd’s of their most spectacular movies. Outside of Despicable, there aren’t really any good movies out now, so when Labor Day rolls around, it’s possible Avatar might make a mint. Hopefully they will release a complete dvd by Thanksgiving and give us what we want!

#89

For whatever it’s worth, school started up last week in my area (and I’m sure the same thing is happening across a lot of the US). That could be a factor in theatres dropping screens for TS3, figuring it will lose a lot of its weekday business once kids are back in school.

#90

Great to hear the kudos for Despicable Me. I’m seriously considering seeing it in cinemas, cos’ there’s an advance in Sydney next week where all proceeds go to charity and I’m thinking of supporting it. As for HTTYD, I’m sure most of you would know I’m an avid fan of it before and after watching it. Alice seriously disappointed me, and I’m glad I didn’t spend more than the $10 I did catching it in 3D in its discounted final days.

The toys that refuse to die are now in their sixth straight weekend on top in Japan, where it earned another $6.1 million for a $95.8 million total. Expect a huge mecha-robot of Buzz to be built by the scientific boffins any time now.

In the UK, it made $5.1 million last weekend, bringing it to a total of $91.5 million. It is also the top-grossing animated movie of all-time there. Well done, crumpet-munchers!

With a $539.3 million overseas haul, Toy Story 3 has officially knocked off Finding Nemo to become Disney’s biggest-grossing animated feature ever overseas. It also became the top-grossing animated movie ever worldwide on Friday, passing Shrek 2’s $919.8 million, and has moved in to ninth place on the all-time worldwide chart with $940.1 million. The big nine-'0’s are within reach now…

Source: Box-Office Mojo

#91

Hooray! This is very exciting. I’m glad to hear the toys passed Shrek 2. Now we only need to start counting down to a billion!

#92

Updated gross:

Domestic: $403,727,000 41.0%

  • Foreign: $580,600,000 59.0%
    = Worldwide: $984,327,000

It’s going to pass a billion next week and will beat Alice In Wonderland the week after.

Phenomenal performance.

#93

It will pass a billion and has a chance of beating Alice. Im not sure about beating Shrek 2 domestic, If they do it will amaze me.

#94

When I saw the box office numbers and saw how close it is to grossing a billion, I squealed so hard. I’ve never been so excited for a movie to do so well.

It’ll definitely pass a billion next weekend! :smiley:

#95

Wow, that’s great, I love charity screenings!

#96

I sure hope it’ll pass up alice. Btw, i’m new to the forums.

#97

Welcome to the forums, Johnny_Boy. Hope you like it here. And yeah, I’m hoping TS3 passes Alice as well. :slight_smile:

#98

Hey Johnny_Boy! And I am hopeful like you about TS3 passing Alice.

#99

Nice to meet you too. If ts3 does pass up alice it’ll probably end up the top 5. It would be pretty cool if an animated film achieved something like that.

#100

Johnny_Boy Always nice to have someone new here, be sure to go on the Boys vs Girls game the numand make ber go up