Predict how TS3 will end at the box office.

It’s not gonna beat Titanic and Avatar. Especially if they have to make $2 billion dollars, I can tell you that.

After The Dark Knight and Alice, the final one I think it could beat is Dead Man’s Chest. It’s possible for it to eclipse Lord of the Rings, but I’m not gonna hold my breath. That would be the ultimate ending of Toy Story 3’s box office haul.

What do you say, DarkHand?

Well, according to the gurus over at worldofkj.com, it has about a 50/50 chance of pushing to 4th position. It is certain it will pass Alice in a week or so, but the next $40M will be a chore to pass the Pirates movies(that installment wasn’t that good anyway, poorest of the series). Here is a link about this week’s activity:

filmofilia.com/2010/08/29/di … lion-mark/

And here is a big, thorough link over at boxofficemojo.com on TS3’s recent progress:

boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=2904&p=.htm

Showing that receipts surged to $115M (+$7M) in Japan and nearly $105M(+$6M) in Britain. It made $3.7M in Scandinavia for the weekend, so it’s open world-wide now. It pushed to over $40M in France, with receipts of $2M, and limped to $15M in Germany, making $1M for the week, Spain moved up to over $28.1M, picking up $1M. In Italy it’s up to $17.1M, a pickup of another $1M. Fell to 19th place in the U.S., making $1.8M there too. So that’s $24.5 of the $28M the film made this week!

It continued in the top10 in Australia, until this week where it dropped off, pushed down there by Inception and Salt, and has massed $42.5M or more, still checking on this. Receipts from down under cooled quickly after 4 weeks.

There is also another Pixar related site link, that I found very disturbing!:

pixartalk.com/2010/08/pixar- … auditions/

Here this well known Pixar enthusiast, at his own site - one of only a few Pixar sites on the net, reveals how Pixar/Disney has withdrawn from the Annies, first reported by Variety magazine, after the disastrous 2008 awards which brought near universal shock and condemnation. And here is a forum link thread to this development:

pixarplanet.com/forums/viewt … 730#215730

However happy I may be for Toy Story 3 reaching the billion mark, its still hasn’t done well in certain countries. Congrats on Pixar finally hitting the mark, their efforts in story making should be reward and has been. For Toy Story 3 to beat LoR it’ll take something special to do it. Maybe Disney should bump up its advertising a bit more in countries TS3 isn’t performing well in.

azzstar - While it’s disconcerting to hear that TS3 hasn’t done well in other countries, I guess that was anticipated. TS3 is reliant on their audience to watch the previous movies in the TS series, and also, like many movies from the western world, Western culture-esque ideologies and humour seems to not relate well to other cultures. It’s not just TS3 - other Hollywood blockbusters fall into the same effect.

If Toy Story 2 had been released 5 years ago, the 3rd would have done better in Eastern Europe, where it probably lost $30M in receipts. Also, Italy and much of Europe is in vacation mode now. Maybe TS3 will still be on the marque when they get back next week. Yeah, the mainstays were nearly all the Americas and Japan and Britain, but it did super well in Hong Kong, Australia and quite well in most of the emerging East Asian nations. It didn’t pass up Up in continental Europe, that movie did spectacularly well in Spain last summer. I think the most sobering nations were the Low Countries of The Netherlands and Belgium, where TS3 did very mediocrely, only half the business of last years Pixar entree.

Help us Obon Wani Kyujitsu, you’re our only hope!

Fairy 'nuff, mate. You gotta point there. :slight_smile:

TS3 held 92% compared to last weekends August 21st-22nd figures. The source.
headlines.yahoo.co.jp/hl?a=20100 … -oric-movi

In other words, TS3 is still huggin tight to the Japanese hearts. It only dropped 8% from last weekend. It made 700 million yen for the week, ending August 28th-29th weekend, which converted into the current exchange rate that comes to $12.1 million. I think Box Office Mojo is converting to 90 yen to the dollar. I’m always converting into the yens rate when the report is written about TS3 sales.

TS3 has a big chance to overtake LOTR for the third spot. We need new marketing. Green Army Man Let’s go!

Edit: I didn’t mean 7 billion, but 700 million. Translating gets confusing.

Interesting Rey that The Shawshank Redemption got highest rating honors among all films, based on whatever criteria. It’s the #1 favorite movie of fans over at the major film website IMdb, which like Rottentomatoes and boxofficemojo, is a compendium of information. When that movie came out, it made a big impact, especially with thinking people, but its fame comes mostly from how well it has grown over the years, the breezy way it comes to multiple endings for each member of the cast. Repeat viewings are always helped by the score, done by Thomas Newman, who also did Wall-E.

I’m guessing it’ll end with about $1,600,000. Shame it’s ending its US run so soon :frowning:

Hey, Lee posted on his twitter tat TS3 will be in atleast 1500 theaters for Labor Day weekend. He also mentioned that TS3, currently, is at around 600 theater count.
So, if you want, predict the dom. weekend gross! :smiley:

They usually add +400 theaters for this holiday weekend, which starts in a few hours. For Wall-E and Up, these Pixar movies made about $2M on this ‘Last Gasp’ weekend. The releases of the past 3 weeks have been unexciting, and except for the nanny movie with Emma Thompson, not really tailored for families with kids. I’m not sure what new movies are coming out. Cameron got his Avatar out there again as a general crowd-pleaser, but nearly 90% of the market was saturated for it, so it barely cracked the top10.

I would predict not much more than $3M domestic. I guessed after the first month that it would do $405-415M. Looks like it’s right on target at the higher number. Someone else said $425M, and that was a good guess, except for Despicable Me shaving off $10-15M of the take. Yes, it has 600 theaters as of this week, but seeing will be believing if they boost it up to over 1500 here in the U.S. I imagine it will go up to 1000, maybe 1200 tops. And over the last few years, Pixar movies have made only about $3M after Labor Day. I think TS3 is good for maybe $5M more after this weekend.

Toy Story 3 has beaten Alice. It now has $1,029,455,000. It is also the highest grossing film of 2010. It may have a slight chace of beating Pirates 2 which has $1,066,179,725, But im not sure yet.

It beat Alice? :smiley: Yay!

Toy Story 3 is currently the highest-grossing film of 2010 in the United States and Canada, and the highest-grossing film of 2010 worldwide.” - Toy Story 3 wiki article, just updated today.

So TS3 finally beat the undeserving Alice, making $17M or so this past week. It needs to make just under $40M to advance another notch. But it’s running out of steam… still, even tho summer is over, maybe some of the Euro vacationers will see the movie. Also, competition in Sept and Oct…>-< What blockbusters will be released during these months? It is true that Tangled is coming to the U.S. This may push it out of its remaining theaters…

Indeed it blew up to 1,520 screens in the U.S. for this weekend. But its haul is predicted to double to only a modest $2M. It might score $3M for the whole week with this many theaters. Ten of these are in my area, however Fandango missed listing it in the nearest one, a nice downtown location with escalators and security guards crawling all over, maybe cuz of the holidays and Hezbollah over-the-Mexican-border fears. There was a healthy crowd in the large auditorium in Redwood City, CA “Climate Best by Government Test”, for the Saturday evening show I perused. It was mostly full. I can imagine that the late afternoon show was nearly sold out with kiddies. TS3 climbed from #19 to #17 for the weekend, altho this is only an estimate I guessed based on online ticket sales.

In other news, Despicable Me passed up Shrek4 to move into 6th place for the year! This movie and the Dragon may give Pixar a run for its money at the awards.

I’m just very glad to hear that Toy Story 3 passed the, quite frankly, horrendous Alice in Wonderland (I still can’t understand why that film made so much money). From this point onwards, anymore money made is sort of extra, because it’s done so well that it doesn’t need to prove itself as an amazing sequel anymore.

I’m also glad to hear Despicable Me is doing well, but we’ve got to remember that financial success doesn’t always mean awards success, so whilst Toy Story 3 is not necessarily a shoe-in, Despicable Me and How To Train Your Dragon may not be popular at the awards despite how well they’ve done. My guess is that they’ll both get nominations, but Toy Story’s legacy will pip them to it. Though it’s amazing how unpredictable the Academy can be, so they’ve all got a decent chance.

I think alot of people went to see Alice cause it was a Tim Burton film.

I didn’t hate Alice. I thought it was weird and mediocre, but not awful. I agree that pretty much all the Pixar movies are better, though.

I thought Alice was cool. A bit random at times, but cool.

Didn’t I read somewhere that TS3 is now the highest grossing animated film of all time?

Yes you probably did. I’m glad Pixar got it. :smiley:

Yep, it’s gonna be hard to beat, I wonder if it will be beaten.